Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.001571 0.001632 0.001696 0.001766 0.001843 0.001923 0.002014
2025-07-20 0.001463 0.001550 0.001644 0.001753 0.001875 0.002011 0.002174
2025-07-27 0.001397 0.001503 0.001620 0.001760 0.001925 0.002116 0.002357
2025-08-03 0.001333 0.001451 0.001584 0.001747 0.001946 0.002183 0.002497
2025-08-10 0.001295 0.001424 0.001573 0.001760 0.001994 0.002284 0.002686
2025-08-17 0.001252 0.001388 0.001547 0.001751 0.002012 0.002346 0.002827
2025-08-24 0.001211 0.001351 0.001517 0.001733 0.002016 0.002388 0.002944
2025-08-31 0.001197 0.001346 0.001526 0.001764 0.002085 0.002521 0.003203
2025-09-07 0.001175 0.001329 0.001517 0.001771 0.002120 0.002608 0.003405
2025-09-14 0.001143 0.001299 0.001491 0.001754 0.002120 0.002643 0.003528
2025-09-21 0.001111 0.001267 0.001461 0.001729 0.002107 0.002658 0.003616
2025-09-28 0.001086 0.001243 0.001440 0.001715 0.002108 0.002693 0.003744
2025-10-05 0.001044 0.001197 0.001389 0.001658 0.002046 0.002629 0.003690
2025-10-12 0.001024 0.001179 0.001375 0.001652 0.002058 0.002681 0.003857
2025-10-19 0.001012 0.001170 0.001372 0.001662 0.002093 0.002773 0.004117
2025-10-26 0.000993 0.001152 0.001356 0.001651 0.002097 0.002812 0.004279
2025-11-02 0.000983 0.001145 0.001355 0.001663 0.002135 0.002914 0.004592
2025-11-09 0.000967 0.001130 0.001342 0.001654 0.002141 0.002961 0.004793
2025-11-16 0.000949 0.001111 0.001323 0.001639 0.002135 0.002982 0.004939
2025-11-23 0.000947 0.001114 0.001334 0.001667 0.002201 0.003144 0.005480
2025-11-30 0.000938 0.001106 0.001331 0.001673 0.002230 0.003240 0.005879
2025-12-07 0.000922 0.001089 0.001314 0.001657 0.002222 0.003260 0.006066
2025-12-14 0.000904 0.001070 0.001293 0.001635 0.002200 0.003253 0.006167